Fall 2009

"Assessing the Significance of Period and Cohort Effects in Hierarchical Age-Period-Cohort Models, with Applications to Trends in Verbal Ability, Voting in Presidential Elections, and Health" The Duke Population Research Institute (DuPRI), an affiliate of SSRI, is dedicated to the conceptual unification of the demographic sciences. We host a regular Thursday afternoon speaker series presenting innovative research during the academic year that all members of the Duke community are invited to attend.

"Causes of Lagging Life Expectancy at Older Ages in the United States" Life expectancy in the United States fares poorly in international comparisons, primarily because of high mortality rates above age 50. One explanation is a poor performance by the health care system. We find that, by standards of OECD countries, the US does well in terms of screening for cancer, survival rates from cancer, survival rates after heart attacks and strokes, and medication of individuals with high levels of blood pressure or cholesterol.

(joint talk with Sociology) "Seeing or Believing: 1st vs. 3rd Person Perspectives on Racial Identification" Race is most often conceptualized as a characteristic that defines populations based on shared physical appearance, but in social research, race is measured by self-reported identities, which are subject to political and cultural forces as well as personal preferences.

(joint talk with Economics)" Neighborhood Gentrification "The Duke Population Research Institute (DuPRI), an affiliate of SSRI, is dedicated to the conceptual unification of the demographic sciences. We host a regular Thursday afternoon speaker series presenting innovative research during the academic year that all members of the Duke community are invited to attend.

(joint with DGHI and CFAR)"An NICHD Perspective on the Development of Research Linking the Population Sciences to Global Health Issues" The Duke Population Research Institute (DuPRI), an affiliate of SSRI, is dedicated to the conceptual unification of the demographic sciences. We host a regular Thursday afternoon speaker series presenting innovative research during the academic year that all members of the Duke community are invited to attend.

(joint with Sanford School of Public Policy) "Supercentenarians and the Theory of Heterogeneity" *Please note room: Rubenstein Hall 200, Sanford The Duke Population Research Institute (DuPRI), an affiliate of SSRI, is dedicated to the conceptual unification of the demographic sciences. We host a regular Thursday afternoon speaker series presenting innovative research during the academic year that all members of the Duke community are invited to attend.

"The Great Migration and Mortality of African Americans" Two inextricably linked phenomena lie at the heart of African American social history in the twentieth century: The first is "black-white economic convergenc, that accompanied the decline in discriminatory barriers and narrowing of the black-white gap in human capital. The second is "the great migration" the movement of millions of African Americans from the South to the North, Midwest, and West. This talk will examine Black white differences in earnings within specific locations.

Topic: TBD. Duke University Seminar on Global Health series is a university-wide interdisciplinary initiative which connects those from Duke and area universities with nationally-recognized experts to explore critical issues in the field of global health. This lecture is also part of the DUPRI seminar series.

EXTENDED COHORT-COMPONENT APPROACH FOR HOUSEHOLDS PROJECTION AT SUB-NATIONAL LEVELS This paper discusses the five core ideas of the extended cohort-component method known as ProFamy for simultaneously forecasting of family households, living arrangements and population.

"Consider the Possiblities!" Ethnography and Collaborative Family Research Opportunities at DuPRISSRI at Duke University currently houses two of the largest longitunal ethnographic datasets on poverty and family life in the country: Welfare, Children and Families: A Three-City Study and the Family Life Project. In this presentation, I will describe the datasets in great detail and discuss opportunities for secondary analysis of these data and for research collaborations which might involve integrating ethnographic and survey data analysis.